MLB daily notes, Fantasy rankings for Friday

February 6, 2017

Well that was fun, but now it’s time to get back to the grind and go about helping you with all things fantasy baseball. The good news is since we’re coming off the break, all the teams have their rotations set so we can pLa n accordingly . Oh wait, no they don’t. We’re awaiting word from the De sert and the Arizona Diamondbacks as they’ve been mum on their pLa ns. We even had our first post-break scratch as the OakLa nd Athletics are giving a couple of extra days for his blister to heal. Everyone else is raring to go and no doubt, so are you, so let’s put the break behind us and get to it.

PitchingStarting pitcher projected game scores for July 15

GS: The pitcher’s projected game score, from Bill James’ original formuLa , which accounts for history (three years’ Worth as well as past 21 days), opponent and ballpark. A game score of 50 is typically regarDe d a quality start; anything over 70 is exceptional and anything unDe r 30 poor. An asterisk (*) means the author has adjusted the projections. T: Pitcher throws left-Hand or right-Hand e d. Opp: The pitcher’s opponent for the day. W-L: Pitcher’s win-loss record. ERA: Pitcher’s earned run average. WHIP: Pitcher’s average number of walks plus hits surrenDe red per inning.

It’s hard to believe Madison Bumgarner will turn just 27 years old on Aug. 1. May be in a few years the narrative will be how many miles the southpaw has on his PRice less left arm, but for now he’s one of the most reliable and durable hurlers in the League . Who cares if he worked an inning in the All-Star Game, the San Francis co Giants are giving him the ball against the San Diego Padres in Petco Field. Careful though, the Friars are perceived as a weak offensive unit but they own the fourth-best weighted on base average (wOBA) versus lefties in the League . However, they also whiff at an accelerated clip in those conditions, which gives Bumgarner and his 10.1 K/9 a great pLa tform to have a big game. Some May be scared off by the Padres ‘ prowess versus left-Hand e rs, but that’s a mistake.

As expected, will open the second half for the Washington Nationals , taking on the Pittsburgh Pirates in a home affair. Strasburg La st worked on July 8, but with his recent back and rib woes, the club wanted to make sure he was good to go after his bullpen session on Tuesday. It won’t be easy for the right-Hand e r as the Bucs hit righties well, but they’re also very punchout prone. Bumgarner looks better for cash with Strasburg having the edge in GPP pLa y.

De spite the break, will be working on standard rest, which is a good thing since he was sent to the showers early La st time out. The New York Yankees knocked the CleveLa nd Indians righty out after he pitched just 3 2/3 innings, throwing only 81 pitches. That was one of the few blemishes on a solid first half that was interrupted by a stint on the disabled list with a hamstring issue. The catch is that in the spring, many expected Carrasco to be better than just solid. True, he opens the second half borDe rline elite but some of that is matchup driven. If you’re in a seasonal League and need some pitching help down the stretch, Carrasco is a great arm to target. Friday’s date with the Minnesota Twins in Target Field is a nice La unching point. The home team is average versus right-Hand e rs though it is susceptible to a strikeout pitcher. Use Carrasco with confiDe nce in all DFS formats.

Most head-to-head League s roll the short week into next week, so there’s not as much urgency as in a normal Friday, so we’ll proceed with a little more caution than normal. If a pitcher is skipped and you want some quick analysis, please post in the comments or shoot me a Tweet to @ToddZoLa .

Obviously Lucas Harrell isn’t a 1.32 ERA pitcher, but his strikeout and walk rates are De cent enough to be in pLa y for his date with the Colorado Rockies in Turner Field as he and the AtLa nta Braves embark on the second half.

The Tampa Bay Ray s are two different teams. There’s the version that pounds lefties, then there’s the one that will face YoVan i GalLa rdo . The Baltimore Orioles right-Hand e r is a viable streamer as he gets a nice park upgraDe and faces a club with a 25 percent strikeout rate against righties.

Hector Santiago has had serious issues with the long ball, De spite calling Angels Stadium home. The Chicago White Sox visit the homer-suppressing venue for a weekend set with the Los Angeles Angels . Aiding the Halos lefty is the Pale Hose will tote one of the Lowe st home run rates versus left-Hand e rs to Anaheim.

Toronto Blue Jay s righty has pitched a full run better than his actual 4.89 ERA, at least according to his expected ERA. Look for the correction to begin with a road tilt against the OakLa nd Athletics .

At home he’s a gas can but on the road against the AtLa nta Braves , Colorado Rockies southpaw Jorge De La Rosa warrants a spot start.

The rumor is the PhiLa De lphia PHill ies are looking to move to a contenDe r. The veteran right-Hand e r auditions versus the New York Mets in Citizens Bank Park against a lineup checking in with a below-average wOBA versus righties along with an above-average strikeout rate in those conditions.

Not only is in the mix as a streamer as the Houston Astros visit Safeco Field for a set with the Seattle Mariners but he’s also a De cent GPP pLa y with intriguing strikeout upsiDe .

Avoid

Not surprisingly, the list of hurlers to completely avid is short since teams get to reorDe r their rotations with the lesser arms at the back end. Only Miguel Gonzalez and Martin Perez have projected Game Scores in the avoid range. Perez is De finitely too dangerous, though if you have a high tolerance for risk, using Gonzalez can be justified

HittingHitter matchup ratings for July 15

Hitter ratings account for the opposing starting pitcher’s history (three years’ Worth as well as past 21 days) as well as ballpark factors. “LH” and “RH” ratings account only for left- and right-Hand e d batters, respectively. Weighted on-base average (wOBA) is the primary statistic used in the calcuLa tion. Ratings range from 1-10, with 10 representing the best possible matchup, statistically speaking, and 1 representing the worst. For example, a 10 is a must-start rating, while a 1 should be avoiDe d (if possible); a 1-2 is poor, 3-4 is fair, 5-6 is average, 7-8 is very good and 9-10 is excellent. An asterisk (*) means the pitcher La cks requisite career major League data to produce an accurate hitter rating; these are the author’s ratings.

DFS pLa y is always more interesting when there’s no clear-cut, obvious stack. The best locale is in the Queen’s City as the Red will take aim against the right-Hand e d sLa nts of the Brewers ‘ Matt Garza . Joey Votto and Jay Bruce make a perfect two-man stack with the pLa toon edge, while Adam Duvall and Eugenio Suarez have the pop De sired for GPP action.

The Chicago Cubs entered the break on a tailspin, but it was from more their pitching than sticks. Expect the bats to pick right back up with Rangers southpaw Martin Perez on the Wrigley Field mound. Kris BRyan t , Willson Contreras and Ben Zobrist are the primary targets, though adding Anthony Rizzo could work since many will faDe due to the left-on-left matchup. Rizzo can Hand le southpaws, plus in all likelihood he’ll see some bullpen arms. Addison Russell and Javier Baez are nice additions to a full tournament stack.

An unDe r-the-radar stack is the San Francis co Giants in Petco Park against AnDrew Cashner . Brandon is the centerpiece along with fellow lefties De nard Span and Brandon Crawford . Switch-hitter Angel Pagan is in pLa y from the 2-hole with Buster Posey always an option.

Most likely to hit a homer:

While it wasn’t a true break as Cabrera maDe his annual trip to the All-Star Game, the four-day respite likely served him well. Look for the recharged slugger to take as the Royals righty enDe d the first half with an unsightly 1.9 HR/9.

Most likely to steal a base: Billy Hamilton

Chalk it is as the Milwaukee Brewers don’t De fend the running game well, giving Hamilton free run of the basepaths.

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